ICYMI: Rasmussen Poll Shows Walker 48%, Barrett 44%

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE July 17, 2010 Contact: Jill Bader (414) 453-2010 Email: Twitter: @JillBader 

ICYMI: Rasmussen Poll Shows Walker 48%, Barrett 44%  Walker the only candidate who can beat Tom Barrett in November

Wauwatosa – Keith Gilkes, campaign manager for Scott Walker, released the following statement on polling showing Scott Walker as the only candidate able to win in November.

"This is the second poll in a week that shows Scott as the clear choice to end the Doyle-Barrett legacy of high taxes and bigger government.”

Included in today’s poll:

•       Among independents Walker leads Barrett 51% to 32%

•       Walker has the highest favorable ratings and lowest unfavorable ratings of any candidate.  His favorable ratings are 55 favorable to 32% unfavorable (30% very favorable) to Barrett’s 49-42% (24% very favorable).  Meanwhile, Neumann is viewed very favorably by only 11%.

•       Walker has the highest favorable ratings of any candiate among GOP voters at 86%. He is viewed very favorably by 60% of GOP voters – only 23% of GOP voters view Neumann very favorably.

Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor Wisconsin Governor: Walker (R) 48%, Barrett (D) 44% Saturday, July 17, 2010 

Democrat Tom Barrett receives an increase in support this month to pull closer to both his Republican opponents in Wisconsin's gubernatorial race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state shows Scott Walker, who won the state's GOP endorsement in May, with 48% support to 44% for Barrett. Four percent (4%) prefer a different candidate, and another four percent (4%) are undecided. This is the closest the two candidates have been since April, when Barrett trailed by just two points. Last month, Walker led Barrett 49% to 41%. 

If Mark Neumann is his GOP opponent, Barrett picks up 45% support to the Republican's 43%. Seven percent (7%) like another candidate, while five percent (5%) are undecided. Though Neumann moved to a 47% to 39% edge in June LINK, the two candidates were virtually tied in surveys conducted in May and April LINKS. Still, this is the lowest level of support measured for Neumann since the beginning of the year.

In surveys this year, Walker's support has remained in the narrow range of 46% to 49%, while Barrett has earned 40% to 44% of the vote. When pitted against Neumann, Barrett has picked up 39% to 46% of the vote, while the Republican has run only slightly stronger in the 43% to 46% range.

Democratic Governor Jim Doyle is not standing for reelection, and, at present, Barrett has no strong opposition for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination. Voters in both parties will pick their nominees in September 14 primaries.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Wisconsin was conducted on July 13, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology

Incumbent Democrat Russ Feingold is still in a virtual dead heat with endorsed Republican challenger Ron Johnson in Wisconsin's U.S. Senate race. 

Both Republicans hold solid leads among men in the state, while Barrett earns majority support from women in both match-ups.
Both Republicans hold healthy leads among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Fifty-six percent (56%) of all voters in Wisconsin favor passage of an Arizona-like immigration law in their state, while 33% oppose such a law.

Most voters who favor an Arizona-like law in Wisconsin support the Republicans, while most opponents of such a law favor Barrett.
Neumann is viewed Very Favorably by 11% of all Wisconsin voters and Very Unfavorably by 16%.

Thirty percent (30%) of voters in the state share a Very Favorable view of Walker, while 19% view him Very Unfavorably.

Very Favorables for Barrett total 24%, while his Very Unfavorables add up to 23%. 

Ratings for all three candidates are little changed from last month.

At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.

Thirty-six percent (36%) in Wisconsin say the $787 billion economic stimulus plan passed last year helped the economy, but 35% say it hurt. Most (56%) say the government spending in the stimulus plan did not create new jobs.

Sixty-one percent (61%) say cutting taxes is better than increasing government spending when it comes to creating jobs.

Only eight percent (8%) in Wisconsin rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, while 49% rate it as poor. A third (32%) says economic conditions are improving, but 41% say they are getting worse. Sixty-nine percent (69%) believe the economy is currently in a recession.

Forty percent (40%) of Wisconsin voters now approve of the job Doyle is doing as governor, up five points from the previous survey, while 59% disapprove. 

In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Barack Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point. 

In 2006 Senator Herb Kohl was ahead of Robert Lorge 64% to 25% in the final Rasmussen poll. Kohl won 67% to 30%. In the governor's race that year, Rasmussen polling showed Doyle leading Mark Green 48% to 44%. Doyle won 53% to 45%. 

In Senator Russ Feingold's 2004 reelection bid, final Rasmussen polling showed him leading 53% to 43%. Feingold won 55% to 44%.   

See the full results here:

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Paid for by Friends of Scott Walker, John Hiller, Treasurer