ICYMI: Rasmussen Poll Shows Walker 48%, Barrett 41%

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASEMay 27, 2010 Contact: Jill Bader (414) 453-2010

ICYMI: Rasmussen Poll Shows Walker 48%, Barrett 41%  **Note: Media interested in speaking with Scott can meet him at campaign HQ TODAY at 2:15pm**

Wauwatosa – Keith Gilkes, campaign manager for Scott Walker, released the following statement on polling showing Scott Walker as the frontrunner in the race for Wisconsin Governor. 

“Yet again, we’re seeing Scott Walker as the frontrunner in this race and winning by a wide margin with independent voters.   The momentum is clearly behind Scott and his plan to get government out of the way to bring 250,000 jobs to Wisconsin.”

Included in today’s poll:

  • Among independents, Walker leads Barrett 46% to 31%.
  • Walker’s favorable ratings are 52-30% to Barrett’s 48-36%
  • Walker captures 94% of the Republican vote, ten points higher than his primary opponent.

Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker, coming off last weekend’s state Republican Convention endorsement, now holds a slight lead over Democratic opponent Tom Barrett after the two ran virtually even a month ago in the contest for Wisconsin governor.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Walker with 48% support to Barrett’s 41%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.

Former Congressman Mark Neumann, who is battling Walker for the GOP nomination, now runs just ahead of Barrett 44% to 42%. Six percent (6%) favor another candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.

A month ago, Barrett, the mayor of Milwaukee, was running even with Neumann at 46% apiece and just barely behind Walker 46% to 44%.

Both Republicans have led Barrett in surveys back to the first of the year, with Walker consistently running slightly stronger than Neumann. But until this month support for the Democrat had been increasing steadily.

In the previous surveys, Barrett’s support has risen from 38% in January to 42% in March to 46% in April. Until the latest survey, Walker’s numbers had eroded slightly from a high of 49% in January. Neumann climbed from 42% in January to 46% last month.

Democratic Governor Jim Doyle is not standing for reelection, and, at present, Barrett has no strong opposition for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination. Voters in both parties will pick their nominees in September 14 primaries.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Wisconsin was conducted on May 25, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Businessman Ron Johnson, also endorsed at last weekend’s state Republican Convention, is now running virtually even against incumbent DemocratRuss Feingold in Wisconsin’s race for the U.S. Senate.

Both Walker and Neumann lead Barrett by more than 20 points among male voters. The Democrat leads by narrower margins among female voters.

Among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, the Republicans hold a double-digit lead.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Wisconsin voters favor passage of a law like Arizona’s in their state, roughly comparable to voter sentiments nationwide. Twenty-nine percent (29%) are opposed, and 15% are undecided.

Most voters who support such a law favor the Republicans. Barrett earns similar support from those who oppose a law like Arizona’s in the state.

Support is stronger for the chief provision of the Arizona law. Sixty-six percent (66%) think a local police officer should be required to check the immigration status of anyone stopped for a traffic violation or some other kind of violation if the officer suspects the person is an illegal immigrant. Twenty-four percent (24%) oppose that requirement.

Forty-one percent (41%) of Wisconsin voters now approve of the job Doyle is doing as governor, while 57% disapprove. This marks a slight improvement in his ratings from a month ago.

In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Barack Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.

In Wisconsin during the 2008 campaign, Rasmussen Reports polling showed Obama defeating McCain by a 51% to 44% margin. Obama won 56% to 43%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen polling showed Kerry leading Bush in the state by a 48% to 46% margin. Kerry won 50% to 49%.

In 2006 Senator Herb Kohl was ahead of Robert Lorge 64% to 25% in the final Rasmussen poll. Kohl won 67% to 30%. In the governor’s race that year, Rasmussen polling showed Doyle leading Mark Green 48% to 44%. Doyle won 53% to 45%.

In Feingold's 2004 reelection bid, final Rasmussen polling showed him leading 53% to 43%. Feingold won 55% to 44%.

See all Rasmussen Reports 2008 state results for presidentSenate and governor. See 2006 results for Senate and governor. See 2004 state results for president.

Rasmussen Reports also has released recent polls on the 2010 governor's races in ArizonaColorado, Florida, Georgia, MassachusettsMichigan,MinnesotaNebraska, NevadaNew Hampshire, New York, Ohio, OregonPennsylvania, South CarolinaTennesseeTexas and Vermont.

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See the full results here:

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Paid for by Friends of Scott Walker, John Hiller, Treasurer